Pinning Down Sanlam Limited's (JSE:SLM) P/E Is Difficult Right Now
Jul 03
South African (JSE) Market Analysis & Valuation
UpdatedJul 09, 2024
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies211
- 7D1.3%
- 3M7.0%
- 1Y10.5%
- YTD3.7%
Over the last 7 days, the market has risen 1.3%, driven by gains of 6.0% in the Materials sector. The market is up 11% over the last 12 months. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 18% annually.
Market Valuation and Performance
Has the South African Market valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 09 Jul 2024 | R5.8t | R5.1t | R458.5b | 9.3x | 12.8x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 06 Jun 2024 | R5.5t | R5.2t | R436.8b | 8.7x | 12.5x | 1x |
| Sat, 04 May 2024 | R5.5t | R5.3t | R432.5b | 8.6x | 12.8x | 1x |
| Mon, 01 Apr 2024 | R5.5t | R5.3t | R434.0b | 8.7x | 12.6x | 1x |
| Wed, 28 Feb 2024 | R5.5t | R5.3t | R516.3b | 9.1x | 10.6x | 1x |
| Fri, 26 Jan 2024 | R5.6t | R5.5t | R542.3b | 9.4x | 10.4x | 1x |
| Sun, 24 Dec 2023 | R5.7t | R5.4t | R540.1b | 9.3x | 10.6x | 1.1x |
| Tue, 21 Nov 2023 | R5.6t | R5.4t | R538.3b | 9x | 10.4x | 1x |
| Thu, 19 Oct 2023 | R5.4t | R5.5t | R547.5b | 9.1x | 9.9x | 1x |
| Sat, 16 Sep 2023 | R5.7t | R5.5t | R553.7b | 8.8x | 10.3x | 1x |
| Mon, 14 Aug 2023 | R6.0t | R5.4t | R631.5b | 8.4x | 9.5x | 1.1x |
| Wed, 12 Jul 2023 | R5.8t | R5.4t | R658.7b | 8.5x | 8.8x | 1.1x |
| Fri, 09 Jun 2023 | R7.4t | R5.4t | R655.7b | 8.3x | 11.4x | 1.4x |
| Sun, 07 May 2023 | R6.1t | R5.3t | R669.3b | 8.3x | 9.1x | 1.1x |
| Tue, 04 Apr 2023 | R6.0t | R5.3t | R646.6b | 8.4x | 9.3x | 1.1x |
| Thu, 02 Mar 2023 | R6.2t | R5.3t | R638.5b | 8.8x | 9.7x | 1.2x |
| Sat, 28 Jan 2023 | R6.5t | R5.2t | R658.5b | 8.3x | 9.8x | 1.2x |
| Mon, 26 Dec 2022 | R6.0t | R5.2t | R656.2b | 8.4x | 9.2x | 1.2x |
| Wed, 23 Nov 2022 | R6.1t | R5.2t | R838.3b | 8.6x | 7.3x | 1.2x |
| Fri, 21 Oct 2022 | R5.7t | R5.2t | R841.2b | 8.4x | 6.7x | 1.1x |
| Sun, 18 Sep 2022 | R5.7t | R5.1t | R823.7b | 8.4x | 6.9x | 1.1x |
| Tue, 16 Aug 2022 | R6.1t | R5.2t | R756.6b | 8.8x | 8.1x | 1.2x |
| Thu, 14 Jul 2022 | R5.8t | R5.3t | R788.1b | 8.5x | 7.3x | 1.1x |
| Sat, 11 Jun 2022 | R6.3t | R5.2t | R797.8b | 8.9x | 7.8x | 1.2x |
| Mon, 09 May 2022 | R6.3t | R5.2t | R786.8b | 9.4x | 8x | 1.2x |
| Wed, 06 Apr 2022 | R7.1t | R5.2t | R763.2b | 9.9x | 9.4x | 1.4x |
| Fri, 04 Mar 2022 | R7.4t | R5.2t | R754.2b | 10.5x | 9.9x | 1.4x |
| Sun, 30 Jan 2022 | R6.9t | R5.1t | R769.1b | 10.6x | 9x | 1.4x |
| Tue, 28 Dec 2021 | R6.8t | R5.1t | R765.5b | 10.6x | 8.8x | 1.3x |
| Thu, 25 Nov 2021 | R6.6t | R5.1t | R758.7b | 10.2x | 8.7x | 1.3x |
| Sat, 23 Oct 2021 | R6.7t | R5.0t | R580.5b | 11.3x | 11.6x | 1.3x |
| Mon, 20 Sep 2021 | R6.3t | R5.0t | R547.9b | 11.7x | 11.6x | 1.3x |
| Wed, 18 Aug 2021 | R6.6t | R4.9t | R513.3b | 11.5x | 12.9x | 1.4x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
12.9x
Current Market PE
- Investors are optimistic on the South African market, and appear confident in strong long term growth rates.
- The market is trading at a PE ratio of 12.8x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 9.8x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for South African listed companies have declined 3.7% per year over the last three years.
- Meanwhile revenues have been flat.
- This means that either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses is increasing since sales have remained steady while profits have fallen.
Sector Trends
Which sectors have driven the changes within the South African Market?
| ZA Market | 1.25% | |
| Materials | 5.99% | |
| Energy | 5.31% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1.10% | |
| Tech | 0.95% | |
| Real Estate | 0.59% | |
| Utilities | 0% | |
| Financials | -0.053% | |
| Healthcare | -0.13% | |
| Consumer Staples | -0.17% | |
| Telecom | -0.28% | |
| Industrials | -0.36% | |
Sector PE
- Investors favour the Consumer Staples sector the most for future growth even though it's trading below its 3-year average PE ratio of 22.4x.
- The market's confidence is likely because analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 13.6%, which is higher than its past year's earnings growth of 10.4% per year.
- The Energy sector is the least preferred by investors for future growth, which is trading close to its 3-year average of 3.9x.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Materials sector, expecting annual earnings growth of 30% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings decline of 1.4% per year.
- In contrast, the Energy sector is expected to see its earnings decline by 6.1% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | Sector | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMS Anglo American Platinum | R660.66 | 16.2% +R24.2b | -18.5% | PE13.3x | Materials | |
| NPN Naspers | R3.55k | 2.4% +R13.4b | 10.3% | PE10.9x | Consumer Discretionary | |
| GFI Gold Fields | R283.69 | 4.4% +R10.8b | 13.7% | PE19.4x | Materials | |
| IMP Impala Platinum Holdings | R95.30 | 8.3% +R6.6b | -19.4% | PS0.9x | Materials | |
| VOD Vodacom Group | R98.49 | 3.0% +R5.6b | -13.8% | PE11.7x | Telecom |
